Howard Capital Management Reviews - Wealth Watch & Global Weekly Summary

Tailored Investment Solutions from Howard Capital Management and J. Martin Wealth

Located in Roswell, Georgia, Howard Capital Management (HCM) is an SEC-Registered Investment Advisor Firm. They aim to deliver professional money management solutions to individuals seeking growth while maintaining a prudent investment approach. The firm offers the use of the HCM-BuyLine®, developed by Vance Howard, CEO and Portfolio Manager at Howard Capital Management Inc., which has been their cornerstone since 1996. This unique stop-loss safeguard is crafted to provide timely guidance during market volatility. The HCM-BuyLine® effectively reduces downside risk by moving from equities to cash and cash equivalents while actively identifying opportunities to boost equity exposure during a market upswing.

J. Martin Wealth, based in Arizona, provides fiduciary financial advice tailored to help you meet your financial goals. Led by Jeff Martin, our team focuses on personalized investment strategies that align with your risk tolerance, time horizon, and unique objectives. Whether planning for retirement, managing your investments, or seeking comprehensive financial guidance, we are here to provide solutions that put your best interests first. Serving clients in Gilbert, Chandler, Maricopa, and throughout Arizona, we are committed to delivering transparent, client-centered service.

Howard Capital - Global Weekly Summary

Global markets rally after the announcement of a much-awaited ceasefire deal in the Middle East

January 17, 2025

  • Posted By: Editorial Team

Global markets rose during the week after a number of announcements, the most prominent of which was the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Palestine, brokered by the outgoing Biden administration. Investors look forward to the announcement of economic data next week in the US and going by the recent unemployment data, investors are pricing in a fall in inflation and other supportive data. In Europe, the French Prime Minister survived a ‘no confidence’ vote.

Global Updates

  • The MSCI All Country World Index rose this week as investors eyed the most recent corporate earnings and gauged economic data to determine the path of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
  • The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy prices and is seen as a gauge of underlying inflation pressures, rose 0.2% month-over-month in December.
  • Canadian housing starts fell 13% in December compared with the previous month as groundbreaking decreased on multiple-unit and single-family detached urban homes
  • French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou passed the first test of his new minority government as he survived a vote of no-confidence called by the hard left after the centre-left Socialist Party did not back the motion.
  • British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy signed a landmark 100-year partnership agreement to deepen security ties and strengthen their countries’ relationship.
  • U.S. private equity fund Lone Star and Portuguese authorities are set to share 1.3 billion euros ($1.34 billion) when Novo Banco makes its first dividend payout in the coming months.
  • British property surveyors reported the fastest rise in house prices since September 2022 in December and a continued increase in sales and new buyer enquiries, in contrast to the more mixed picture from some other housing market surveys.
  • Malaysia’s economy grew 4.8% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, slowing from the 5.3% rate in the previous quarter as activity in the agriculture and mining sectors slowed.

U.S. Equity

  • The S&P 500, Dow Jones index & Nasdaq indices were higher over the week.
  • President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, said the dollar should remain the world’s reserve currency, the Federal Reserve should stay independent and that he is ready to impose tougher sanctions on Russia’s oil sector.
  • The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased more than expected last week but remained at levels consistent with a healthy labor market. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 14,000 to a seasonally adjusted 217,000 for the week ended Jan. 11.
  • Boeing resumed testing for its long-delayed 777X widebody jet on Thursday, with the first flight since the U.S. planemaker grounded the test fleet in August due to the failure of a key engine mounting structure.
  • U.S. automaker General Motors and its subsidiary OnStar agreed not to disclose sensitive vehicle geolocation and driver behavior data to consumer reporting agencies for five years
  • Global diesel prices and refining margins spiked following the latest round of U.S. sanctions on Russia’s oil trade on expectations the measures would tighten supplies.
  • Homeowners in areas most at risk of damage from hurricanes, wildfires and other climate perils pay far more for insurance than those who live in the least exposed areas. Homeowners living in areas most at risk paid an average annual premium of $2,321, 82% higher than those who lived in areas least likely to be hit by damaging weather events.
  • American Express will pay about $230 million to settle U.S. criminal and civil probes into alleged deceptive practices in selling credit card and wire transfer products to small business customers.
  • The U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved Amgen’s combination therapy to treat colorectal cancer in patients with a specific gene mutation. Amgen’s Lumakras, in combination with Vectibix, was approved to treat adult patients whose cancer has spread to other parts of the body despite receiving chemotherapy.

Fixed Income

  • The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index rose during the week.
  • The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.60%, and the yield on the 2-year note was in line at 4.22% over the week.
  • The U.S. Dollar Index rose jumped to 109.11 this week.

HCM-030624-063.GWS

Wealth Watch: From the desk of Vance Howard

Markets Wobble Into 2025: Is The Party Over Or Just Getting Started?

  • Posted By: Vance Howard - January 10, 2025
SPY Daily Chart - S&P 500 ETF Performance January 2025

The market looks and feels very tired. The last three trading days of 2024 were weak, and it has carried over into 2025. The market is under a bit of pressure this morning, as the 10-year treasury pushed up to 4.77% and continues to move higher. The dollar is also getting stronger, adding additional pressure to equities, and you can see that in the selloff today. The S&P 500 broke through an HCM Pivot Point®, signaling there may be more downside as the market tries to find support. The HCM-BuyLine® is still positive, and the trend is still up, but in the short-term it looks like the market is going to consolidate a bit lower. The chart of the 7–10-year treasuries ETF (IEF) just about says it all: as rates have risen the value of bonds has fallen.

IEF Daily Chart - Treasury Bond ETF Performance January 2025

Tougher comps, elevated estimates, and lower beat rates imply a tougher earnings environment in 2025. The Q4 earnings season starts in earnest next week when several big banks report. This could be the most consequential earnings season in over a year, and this earnings environment is likely to be the toughest in three years.

ORLY Daily Chart - O'Reilly Automotive Stock Performance January 2025
CRM Daily Chart - Salesforce Stock Performance January 2025

O’Reilly Auto parts has pulled back a bit but is a good solid company that tends to hold up well during pullbacks. Good times or bad, auto parts are always needed. Salesforce (CRM) has pulled back and looks attractive, great company, solid earnings and CRM should benefit from AI.

We started the year off liking the banking sector, but that might change as the wildfires in California will put pressure on banks like Wells Fargo and Bank of America, as they will have a lot of mortgage defaults to deal with.

The surprising 256,000 increase in new jobs in December and a declining unemployment rate is good news, but the latest employment reports masks recent softness in the labor market. The increase in new jobs in December, for example, was centered on just four industries: Health care, government, retail and leisure and hospitality. In other words, most industries are hiring relatively few people. Every major survey of consumers and businesses shows a sharp decline in job openings over the past year and a slower rate of hiring. The Labor market is still pretty solid, to be sure, but not as rosy as the December report indicates.

The HCM-BuyLine® Explained

Would you like to see the history of the BuyLine® in action? Is this a different approach than what you are taking with your current financial advisor? Could the BuyLine® impact your financial plan?

Vance Howard CEO Howard Capital Management

Who is Vance Howard?

Vance Howard embarked on his professional career in the financial industry in 1992, establishing Chartered Financial Services, Inc. He subsequently founded Howard Capital Management, Inc. in 1999, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor. Mr. Howard brings expertise in the analysis, creation, and execution of diverse trading strategies.

Prior to his focus on financial services, Mr. Howard founded Delta Waste Services in 1988, a waste management company he later sold in 1992. Additionally, he co-published investment-focused newsletters, "The Savvy Investor" and the "SI Intermediate-term Trader", which garnered an international readership across over 25 countries between 1992-1999.

Demonstrating a commitment to community, Vance has served on the Huntsville, Texas city council for four terms, including two terms as mayor pro tem. His civic involvement extends to roles such as Huntsville's City Finance Chairman, Chairman of the Huntsville/Walker County 911 Emergency Service, and board positions on the Houston/Galveston Economic Development Council and the District 910 Legal Grievance Committee. He is a former President and active member of the Huntsville Rotary Club.

Outside of the professional sphere, Vance collaborates with family members in the operation of the Bar C Ranch in Madisonville, Texas, where they specialize in raising registered longhorn cattle. His leisure interests include travel with his wife and children, cycling, kayaking, scuba diving, and hiking.

“We aim to take emotion completely out of the equation. Trading with emotions, in our opinion, ruins long-term returns.”

— VANCE HOWARD, CEO + PORTFOLIO MANAGER

Howard Capital Management, Inc, issues this communication. It is for informational purposes and is not an official confirmation of terms. It is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor is it a complete statement of the financial products or markets referred to. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Howard Capital Management, Inc. may maintain long or short positions in the financial instruments referred to and transact as principal or agent. Unless explicitly stated otherwise, this is not a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to buy or sell, and any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. To the extent permitted by law, Howard Capital Management, Inc. does not accept any liability arising from using this communication. Howard Capital Management is an SEC-registered investment advisor that only does business where it is properly registered or is otherwise exempt from registration. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor indicates that the advisor has attained a particular skill or ability. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

This newsletter is a publication of Howard Capital Management, Inc. It should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed, nor should the newsletter be construed as personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion reflect the author's judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change. It should not be viewed as legal or tax advice. Always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your legal or tax situation. There can be no guarantee that the HCM-BuyLine® indicator will perform as anticipated. Stoploss protection will not necessarily limit your losses to the desired amounts due to the limitations of the HCM-BuyLine®, market conditions, and delays in executing orders. It is not an actual stop-loss order that automatically sells securities in the portfolio at a certain price.