Howard Capital Management Reviews - Wealth Watch & Global Weekly Summary

Tailored Investment Solutions from Howard Capital Management and J. Martin Wealth

Located in Roswell, Georgia, Howard Capital Management (HCM) is an SEC-Registered Investment Advisor Firm. They aim to deliver professional money management solutions to individuals seeking growth while maintaining a prudent investment approach. The firm offers the use of the HCM-BuyLine®, developed by Vance Howard, CEO and Portfolio Manager at Howard Capital Management Inc., which has been their cornerstone since 1996. This unique stop-loss safeguard is crafted to provide timely guidance during market volatility. The HCM-BuyLine® effectively reduces downside risk by moving from equities to cash and cash equivalents while actively identifying opportunities to boost equity exposure during a market upswing.

J. Martin Wealth, based in Arizona, provides fiduciary financial advice tailored to help you meet your financial goals. Led by Jeff Martin, our team focuses on personalized investment strategies that align with your risk tolerance, time horizon, and unique objectives. Whether planning for retirement, managing your investments, or seeking comprehensive financial guidance, we are here to provide solutions that put your best interests first. Serving clients in Gilbert, Chandler, Maricopa, and throughout Arizona, we are committed to delivering transparent, client-centered service.

Howard Capital - Global Weekly Summary

Global geopolitics continues to rock the markets

February 28, 2025

  • Posted By : Editorial Team

Global markets were apprehensive this week over President Trump’s reiteration of tariffs being levied on Canada, Mexico and China. The technology sector lagged due to semiconductor restrictions. The continued talks between the US and Russia in Istanbul indicated the Trump administration’s resolve to achieve peace in the Russia-Ukraine region. The US also agreed to a mineral deal with Ukraine. President Zelenskyy expressed his willingness to resign if peace is achieved and Ukraine is permitted to join NATO. The German Conservatives won the country’s general elections, while the European Union and United Kingdom announced fresh sanctions on Russia.

Global Updates

  • The MSCI All Country World Index trended lower this week weighed down by underperformance in US, UK and Asian equities. Potential tariffs triggered risk-off sentiments in investors. President Trump’s plans to increase restrictions on Semiconductor supplies to China led to a worldwide selloff of technology stocks.
  • The Bank of Canada estimated that a trade war would lead to a permanent decline in output of 2.5%.
  • Defense related stocks rose in the U.K. following Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer’s announcement of plans to increase defense spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027.
  • Stellantis posted a 70% drop in its lower-than-expected net profits of €5.5 billion for 2024. Revenues also declined by 17% to € 156.9 billion but were higher than expected.
  • Aston Martin Lagonda stock lagged this week after the company announced layoffs and delay int the launch of its EV.
  • The Alibaba group announced its plans to invest $52 billion to develop AI and cloud infrastructure over the next three years.
  • FMCG giant Unilever is replacing current CEO Hein Schumacher with company CEO Fernando Fernandez.
  • Asian equity markets dragged this week due to the possibility of a 20% tariff on Chinese products. The Trump administration has also proposed levies amounting to $1.5 million on cargos transported on China-made ships docking in US ports.
  • The Chinese President reiterated his government’s commitment to support businesses, in a meeting with entrepreneurs this week. China also announced plans to inject funds worth $55 billion in three banks to encourage higher lending.

U.S. Equity

  • The S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones ended the week lower, weighed down by mixed earnings, unfavorable economic data and potential tariff shifts. Investors displayed risk off sentiment triggering a broad selloff in the markets early in the week. The S&P Global Market Intelligence suggested, the growth in economic activity has plummeted to a 17-month low due to domestic spending cuts and potentially higher tariffs. The Bureau of Economic Analysis’s (BEA) GDP growth data also indicated a sluggish US economy.
  • Weekly jobless claims jumped by 21, 000 claims to 242,000 in the previous week.
  • Existing home sales fell by 4.9% in January despite rising inventory in the market. The drop in sales is being attributed to elevated mortgage rates and home prices.
  • AI stocks trended lower this week due to Nvidia’s lesser-than-expected first quarter outlook. Nvidia reported 78% growth in fourth quarter revenue of $39.33 billion yielding a net income of $22.07 billion. Nvidia projected the first quarter revenue to come in at $43 billion+2%
  • Cloud software company Salesforce’s EPS of $1.75 and revenue of $9.99 billion, came in below expectations. The company projected a lower-than-expected adjusted EPS of $11.09 to $11.17 and revenue of $40.5 billion to $40.9 billion for the fiscal year 2026.
  • Dell Technologies is close to signing a $5 billion deal with xAI for the sale of Nvidia’s GB2000 chip powered servers.
  • Apple has committed to investing $500 billion in the US over the next four years and generate 20,000 research and development jobs. Apple will also be collaborating with Foxconn in opening an AI server factory in Texas.
  • Microsoft has started canceling its leases for AI data centers with hundreds of megawatts of capacity, in the US
  • The Department of Justice has initiated an investigation in the Medicare billing practices of UnitedHealth Group in its Medicare Advantage Plans.

Fixed Income

  • The Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index edged higher this week.
  • The US 10-year Treasury yield was lower at 4.229% and the yield on the 2-year note fell to 4.03% over the week.
  • The US Dollar Index appreciated to 107.37 this week, due to the possibility of tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week.

HCM-030624-063.GWS

Wealth Watch: From the desk of Vance Howard

Navigating Volatility and Positioning for Opportunity

  • Posted By: Vance Howard - March 4, 2025
S&P 500 Large Cap Index Chart with Support and Resistance Levels

What a difference eight trading days can make. The S&P 500 came up to reach a new high 8 days earlier only to reverse course with a hard sell off. We were stopped out of several holdings last week and have built up about $1.8 billion in cash. The HCM-BuyLine® has weakened, and we are monitoring it closely to see if further reductions need to be made.

We have gone a long time without a 10% correction, and as we all know, they will happen. Could this be a correction or just a lot of volatility from geopolitical news?

We are oversold, so there could be a relief rally in the making, and we will see if that holds. Even being stopped out, we know the market will turn back up, we just don’t know when and how far it will drop before that happens. Markets need to correct and consolidate from time to time to move up, so this should not be unexpected. Building up cash gives us the chance to look for opportunities as the market stabilizes.

The HCM-BuyLine® Explained

Would you like to see the history of the BuyLine® in action? Is this a different approach than what you are taking with your current financial advisor? Could the BuyLine® impact your financial plan?

Vance Howard CEO Howard Capital Management

Who is Vance Howard?

Vance Howard embarked on his professional career in the financial industry in 1992, establishing Chartered Financial Services, Inc. He subsequently founded Howard Capital Management, Inc. in 1999, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor. Mr. Howard brings expertise in the analysis, creation, and execution of diverse trading strategies.

Prior to his focus on financial services, Mr. Howard founded Delta Waste Services in 1988, a waste management company he later sold in 1992. Additionally, he co-published investment-focused newsletters, "The Savvy Investor" and the "SI Intermediate-term Trader", which garnered an international readership across over 25 countries between 1992-1999.

Demonstrating a commitment to community, Vance has served on the Huntsville, Texas city council for four terms, including two terms as mayor pro tem. His civic involvement extends to roles such as Huntsville's City Finance Chairman, Chairman of the Huntsville/Walker County 911 Emergency Service, and board positions on the Houston/Galveston Economic Development Council and the District 910 Legal Grievance Committee. He is a former President and active member of the Huntsville Rotary Club.

Outside of the professional sphere, Vance collaborates with family members in the operation of the Bar C Ranch in Madisonville, Texas, where they specialize in raising registered longhorn cattle. His leisure interests include travel with his wife and children, cycling, kayaking, scuba diving, and hiking.

“We aim to take emotion completely out of the equation. Trading with emotions, in our opinion, ruins long-term returns.”

— VANCE HOWARD, CEO + PORTFOLIO MANAGER

Howard Capital Management, Inc, issues this communication. It is for informational purposes and is not an official confirmation of terms. It is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor is it a complete statement of the financial products or markets referred to. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Howard Capital Management, Inc. may maintain long or short positions in the financial instruments referred to and transact as principal or agent. Unless explicitly stated otherwise, this is not a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to buy or sell, and any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. To the extent permitted by law, Howard Capital Management, Inc. does not accept any liability arising from using this communication. Howard Capital Management is an SEC-registered investment advisor that only does business where it is properly registered or is otherwise exempt from registration. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor indicates that the advisor has attained a particular skill or ability. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

This newsletter is a publication of Howard Capital Management, Inc. It should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed, nor should the newsletter be construed as personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion reflect the author's judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change. It should not be viewed as legal or tax advice. Always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your legal or tax situation. There can be no guarantee that the HCM-BuyLine® indicator will perform as anticipated. Stoploss protection will not necessarily limit your losses to the desired amounts due to the limitations of the HCM-BuyLine®, market conditions, and delays in executing orders. It is not an actual stop-loss order that automatically sells securities in the portfolio at a certain price.